The "black swan" thing is possible but extremely uncommon. When we are thinking about the changes in the environment we are facing the most interesting and at the same time the most challenging era in the history of humans and society. The internet is allowing us to share things very fast. And this thing is challenging because we must always be careful what we are doing. We must handle many things that were not even possible a short time ago.
The frame of the modern environment and the challenges that society is facing is climate chancing. But things like pandemics and the new weapon race and new members of the club of nuclear-armed states are making the environment more complicated than ever before. Things like hackers are also operating in the modern environment. And the new thing in hacking is that modern hackers are working under the control of the governments.
That means that in the modern world of intelligence the agent is just bringing the computer to the country. And the hacker will use that computer by using the remote control from the homeland. That thing allows that the hacker can operate behind the firewalls. And nobody would ever punish that person because the hacker is working for some intelligence agency.
Authorities should predict the use of hacking as spies. Because the internet is a good platform for that kind of operation. But for some unknown reason, nobody made anything to stop or denying that thing. The authorities trusted that the Chinese will punish the hackers who attacked western high-tech companies.
Nobody predicted that behind those cyber attacks was the Chinese government. And that means hackers will never get punishments. And the reason for that is they worked for the military intelligence of PLA (People's Liberation Army).
When we are thinking about the changes in the world we can see two megatrends in the environment.
1) The network-based applications
The networks have a key role in the successful business. And the biggest opportunity is also the biggest threat. Social media is a good place for marketing because its a cheap and effective environment for P2P marketing.
In that platform, people can share links to the homepages of the company. But the problem is that if everything is not what it seems. That kind of thing is also uncovering. So the facades are not enough. The entirety must be good.
Public opinion has a great effect on the success of the company. The politicians who are making laws are dependant on popularity. When people don't like the politicians they are switching them in the next elections. And politicians are making laws. But even if the company is not breaking laws.
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2) The new business areas.
The entire new industrial areas are coming. Those areas are things that seemed science fiction a short time ago. The most well-known thing that we are seeing is space tourism. In the beginning, space tourists are paying millions for their flights. But when the spacecraft is turning more common.
That thing means that also regular people can go to space. The problem with space tourism is that the same systems can use also for military purposes. And the small-size space shuttles are suitable also for ASAT operations. The same systems that are taking people to the same can easily equip with microwave transmitters.
That can destroy the satellites very easily. And this technology makes it possible that the nations like Brazil and Iran can make their own ASAT programs by benefiting from the technology that is made for commercial space tourism.
The most chancing thing in the world is the ICT industry. The main role in the ICT business is turning from individual computers and local programs to network-based solutions. That means the complicated applications can use straight in the network by using the browser. So the end-user needs only the web browser for using solutions. Those are operating on the server over the network.
The biggest advantage in the ICT industry is PHP (Hypertext Preprocess). That thing allows outsourcing the drive of the program code to the servers. And this makes mobile solutions possible. The heavy and complicated programs can drive on the servers in the data center. And that means the most complicated algorithms can drive over the internet by using mobile systems.
Outsourcing heavy data handling to the computer centers means that the small robots can operate almost independently. The data handling capacity of the robots is always limited. But over the internet, that system can outsource the most complicated calculations and algorithms to the data centers where the supercomputers are handling those things.
And quantum computers are bringing new visions. The quantum computer-based architecture means that the enormous calculating power of quantum computers can benefit the network. So by using the internet every people in the world can use the quantum computer from their desk or by mobile application. Remote use of quantum computers brings them in every pocket. The data is driven to a quantum system by using regular binary computers.
End-user cannot see the thing that is making the solution. So the point of view of the user doesn't see the thing that is handling data. That thing is similar to the mobile system. Most of the data handling work is done by using supercomputers that are deep underground. That means the quantum computer is the next step in the continuum of remote data handling.
But the internet is a challenging operating environment.
Things like pollution and other things like slave workers can destroy the reputation of the company. Even if those things happen a long way from home. The ethical things in the production are turning more important than ever before.
The fast-changing world is putting challenges for research and predictions. The unexpected things are making preparing for the future harder than before. When we are trying to predict what happens in the future we are turning into an environmental situation where we have so many variables.
We cannot handle all billions of variables in the environment. And that means. We cannot make precise predictions for things that are coming in front of us in the future. In the modern world, information is traveling faster than anytime before. In the modern world is not so small actor that it cannot have an effect. Even the smallest actors can make huge damages if they can prove their words. And that thing means that only facades are not enough.
When we are thinking purely about the modern business infrastructure we are facing the thing that we are facing new types of threats. But at the same time, those threats are big opportunities. A new type of business is coming. Network-based marketing in social media by using hybrid platforms are the things that are bringing a large audience for the smallest start-ups. Hybrid marketing means that the companies are using their homepages. The marketing staff is sharing links in the social network to their homepages. But then we are facing another problem.
When we are talking about marketing we must ask: "how we make sure that we separate commercials and so-called "neutral information"? The thing is that the use of social media for wrong purposes is always possible.
And social media is a good place for sharing "clean data". That term means that all negative things are removed from the data. When we are thinking about the neutrality of information. We must understand that in all things that we are facing in the real world has both good and bad side. So no case is not purely positive or negative.
Image II:https://www.space.com/dream-chaser-space-plane-tenacity-tour.html
https://thoughtandmachines.blogspot.com/
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